Match Info

Super League - Round 28

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Persebaya Surabaya		Madura United

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.35	Watch
	1.75	3.89	4.72
	1.61	4.05	4.95	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.74	3.87	4.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.62)	3.78 ↑ (3.71)	4.48 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Persebaya Surabaya
54.8%

Draw
24.5%

Madura United
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

24.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

23.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Persebaya will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Madura United will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Ramadhani A. (G) 2. Catur A. 44. Gustavo Fernandes 5. Mitrevski R. 17. Jefferson 68. Firmansyah T. 7. Rivera F. (C) 16. Matos P. 22. Freitas Gali 83. Bruno Paraiba 77. Malik R.	21. Diky M. (G) 15. Numberi G. 3. Monteiro P. 68. Rusadi A. 6. Ruxi 4. Wehrmann J. 5. Palic K. 10. Iran Junior 77. Alesandro F. 9. Junior Brandao 11. Lulinha (C)
Substitutes
33. Araya K. 14. Ardiansyah R. 82. Arido A. (G) 81. Baihaqi M. 8. Fernando O. 66. Kardanu S. 78. Mujtaba A. 11. Perovic M. 55. Putra S. 88. Raickovic M. 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.	25. Afrisal R. 23. Emerson Souza 26. Harlan A. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 24. Muslihuddin T. 7. Nufiandani A. 19. Riquelme 12. Rizki F. 2. Sasongko N. 17. Sitanggang P. 28. Vedhayanto K.
Coaches
Tavares B.	Basuki R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Lulinha ⚽, Ruxi (A),
27', Freitas Gali 🟨,
36', Numberi G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Junior Brandao ↓, Riquelme ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Riquelme ⚽, Alesandro F. (A),
66', Malik R. ↓, Ardiansyah R. ↑,
69', Freitas Gali ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
69', Firmansyah T. ↓, Baihaqi M. ↑,
69', Matos P. ↓, Raickovic M. ↑,
71', Numberi G. ↓, Hidayat T. ↑,
80', Iran Junior ↓, Sasongko N. ↑,
80', Lulinha ↓, Sitanggang P. ↑,
80', Catur A. ↓, Araya K. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Ardiansyah R. ⚽, Raickovic M. (A),
87', Wehrmann J. 🟨,
90+9', Diky M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 3.

Recent performances by Persebaya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Madura United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Persebaya is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Madura United	4	3	0	1	7:4	3	9
6	Persebaya	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
11.04.26	Persija Jakarta - Persebaya Surabaya	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Persita Tangerang	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya	5:1 ✺
02.03.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Persib Bandung	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLTW
- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
11.04.26	Madura United - Persik Kediri	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Madura United - Borneo Samarinda	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Persita Tangerang - Madura United	4:1 ✺
03.03.26	Madura United - Java United	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Persib Bandung - Madura United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
03.01.26	Madura United - Persebaya Surabaya	0:1
20.04.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United	1:0
02.12.24	Madura United - Persebaya Surabaya	1:2
13.03.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United	0:0
17.09.23	Madura United - Persebaya Surabaya	3:0
29.01.23	Madura United - Persebaya Surabaya	0:2
14.08.22	Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United	2:2

Upcoming Matches