The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mafra U19 34.3%
Draw 26%
Santa Clara U19 39.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
25%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
24.1%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Santa Clara U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Clara U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra U19 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mafra U19 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara U19 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Clara U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mafra U19 - Santa Clara U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group: )).
Mafra U19 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Santa Clara U19 is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Mafra U19 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Mafra U19 has had a series of away games.
Santa Clara U19 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mafra U19 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.