Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Tondela U19		Mafra U19

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.35
	2.06	3.22	3.6
	2.03	3.22	3.45
	2.08	3.43	3.38
	2	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.88)	3.25 ↓ (3.45)	3.48 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela U19
45.3%

Draw
28.3%

Mafra U19
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

26.9%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Mafra U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela U19 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra U19 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Tondela U19 - Mafra U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Tondela U19 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mafra U19 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Mafra U19 has had a series of home games.

Tondela U19 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tondela U19 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tondela U19 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tondela U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
24.01.26	Académico de Viseu U19 - Tondela U19	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tondela U19 - Benfica U19	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Tondela U19 - Torreense U19	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Tondela U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Alverca U19 - Tondela U19	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- Mafra U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
24.01.26	Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Mafra U19 - Académico de Viseu U19	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Benfica U19 - Mafra U19	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Mafra U19 - Santa Clara U19	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
07.12.25	Tondela U19 - Mafra U19	0:0
24.08.25	Mafra U19 - Tondela U19	0:0
11.01.25	Mafra U19 - Tondela U19	4:3
05.10.24	Tondela U19 - Mafra U19	0:1

Tondela U19 - Mafra U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide