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Current Win Probability
Magdeburg II 33.4%
Draw 24.1%
Greifswald 42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
23%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Magdeburg II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Greifswald have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg II than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (+2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Leipertz R. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Widmann E. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Widmann E. ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, Manthey K. ⚽,
76', 4 - 1, Trus L. ⚽,
85', 4 - 2, Fodelcio ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 7th).
Magdeburg II is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Greifswald is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Greifswald may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Greifswald has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Greifswald in today's match, at odds of 2.12.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Magdeburg II has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Magdeburg II against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.