Match Info
Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday
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Greifswald |
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Erzgebirge Aue |
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1 |
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2 |
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2.44 |
4.17 |
2.11 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.44 (2.44) |
4.17 (4.17) |
2.11 (2.11) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 12.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Greifswald 36.5% | Draw 21.3% | Erzgebirge Aue 42.2% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Greifswald have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Erzgebirge Aue have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.9%) 
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Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 8th and 6th).Greifswald has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).Aue has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Greifswald could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders. No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Aue | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 4 | 21 |
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| 8 | Greifswald | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;