Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 23

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Ospitaletto		Casatese

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5.25
	1.6	3.35	5.6
	1.71	3.09	5.58
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.68	3.35	4.88
	1.6	3.35	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.48)	3.36 ↓ (3.8)	5.4 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
56.1%

Draw
27.1%

Casatese
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.6%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

22.7%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ospitaletto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Ospitaletto - Casatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 1 - 0, Baraye Y. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.01.25	Magenta - Ospitaletto	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Ospitaletto - Vigasio	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Castellanzese - Ospitaletto	0:3 ✺
21.12.24	Crema - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Ospitaletto - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWT
- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.01.25	Casatese - Club Milano	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	Casatese - Pro Sesto	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Casatese - SantAngelo	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Desenzano Calvina - Casatese	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Breno - Casatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
22.09.24	Casatese - Ospitaletto	3:4

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