Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 28

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Magesi		Orlando Pirates

	1	X	2
	8.25	4	1.39
	9	4.35	1.34
	10.54	4.41	1.37
	9.09	4.63	1.31	Watch
	10	4	1.36
	11.3	4.2	1.3	Watch
	7	3.6	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.31 ↑ (7)	4.17 ↑ (3.6)	1.37 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magesi
10%

Draw
22.3%

Orlando Pirates
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

25.9%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

25.3%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando Pirates's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magesi than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando Pirates, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Magesi - Orlando Pirates Predictions

Users Predictions: Orlando Pirates will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Tshabalala M. (G) 4. Makgoga T. (C) 49. Mofokeng D. 3. Buthelezi M. 8. Mokone J. M. 22. Mahlasela K. 38. Seseane A. 80. Majola S. 7. Muvhango K. 40. Mosadi K. 36. Magaqa S.	24. Chaine S. (G) 36. Sebelebele K. 33. Seema L. 5. Sibisi N. (C) 7. Hotto D. 16. Mbatha T. 8. Makhaula M. 12. Appollis O. 28. Maswanganyi P. 38. Mofokeng R. 17. Makgopa E.
Substitutes
12. Baloyi B. 15. Masegela T. 33. Mashiane L. 27. Modise T. 30. Mpati T. 42. Raphadu N. 16. Taolo O. (G) 10. Vandala M.	35. Buthelezi M. N. (G) 43. Chabatsane M. 46. Dansin C. 14. De Jong A. 32. Mariko A. 9. Mbuthuma Y. 45. Msendami D. 3. Ndaba N. 21. van Rooyen D.
Coaches
Freese A.	Ouaddou A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', Majola S. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Maswanganyi P. ⚽, Makgopa E. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Sebelebele K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mahlasela K. ↓, Raphadu N. ↑,
46', Magaqa S. ↓, Masegela T. ↑,
60', 0 - 3, Appollis O. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Makgopa E. ↓, Mbuthuma Y. ↑,
62', Makhaula M. ↓, Dansin C. ↑,
73', Mosadi K. ↓, Mashiane L. ↑,
73', Muvhango K. ↓, Baloyi B. ↑,
82', Maswanganyi P. ↓, Msendami D. ↑,
83', Mofokeng R. ↓, De Jong A. ↑,
85', Majola S. ↓, Mpati T. ↑,
86', Mbatha T. ↓, Mariko A. ↑,
87', Mokone J. M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).

Orlando Pirates is Qualified for CAF Champions League

Magesi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Orlando Pirates is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Orlando Pirates is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magesi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home match between the teams, Magesi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Orlando Pirates	7	6	1	0	16:1	15	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magesi FC
South African Premier Soccer League
05.05.26	Magesi - Orbit College	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	TS Galaxy - Magesi	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Magesi - Durban City	5:2 ✺
15.04.26	Magesi - Kaizer Chiefs	1:4 ✺
11.04.26	Sekhukhune United - Magesi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWLL
- Orlando Pirates
South African Premier Soccer League
05.05.26	Stellenbosch - Orlando Pirates	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Orlando Pirates - Kaizer Chiefs	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Orlando Pirates - AmaZulu	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Orlando Pirates - Lamontville Golden Arrows	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
31.01.26	Orlando Pirates - Magesi	2:0
South African Knockout
28.10.25	Orlando Pirates - Magesi	2:1
South African Premier Soccer League
28.05.25	Orlando Pirates - Magesi	1:1
29.12.24	Magesi - Orlando Pirates	0:1
South African Knockout
19.10.24	Orlando Pirates - Magesi	2:3

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