Match Info

Botola Pro - Round 28

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Complexe sportif de Fès (Fès)


	Maghreb Fez		Yacoub El Mansour

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.20	4.50
	1.75	3.20	4.20
	1.61	3.45	5.10
	1.79	3.25	4.86
	1.77	3.27	4.66	Watch
	1.75	2.90	4.80
	1.77	3.33	4.93	Watch
	1.77	3.20	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.66)	3.23 ↓ (3.28)	4.69 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maghreb Fez
52.3%

Draw
28.3%

Yacoub El Mansour
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

28.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maghreb Fez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Yacoub El Mansour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maghreb Fez than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yacoub El Mansour than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Maghreb Fez - Yacoub El Mansour Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maghreb Fez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Chihab S. (C) 22. Ait Allal H. 11. Allouch S. 9. Benjdida S. 26. Brika A. 5. Chabani A. 2. Hamza A. 6. Noureddine O. 21. Ouhrou M. 13. Rhaili A. 19. Tahiri A.	64. Doughmi H. (G) 23. Ahannach S. 10. Ajoughlal Z. 8. Azzoubairi N. 2. Balouk M. 7. Fati Z. 33. Khalloufi A. 21. Mansouri B. 3. Morsil Y. 17. Mrabet H. 4. Nasserallah M. (C)
Substitutes
68. Baba K. 77. Dalouzi Y. 32. El Jabali D. 12. Errahmany O. (G) 3. Hamadi Z. 8. Harmach A. 4. Khorsa S. 95. Oudrhiri A. 7. Seakanyeng K.	19. Ahayaoui M. 30. Boussefiane H. 90. El Badoui M. 58. El Bernaoui O. (G) 77. El Kaaba F. 16. Legnibi Y. 28. Marour Z. 20. Noussir Y. 13. Zine A.
Coaches
Franco P.	El Jabri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', Ahannach S. 🟨,
22', Rhaili A. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Rhaili A. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Tahiri A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rhaili A. ↓, Khorsa S. ↑,
61', Ajoughlal Z. ↓, Noussir Y. ↑,
61', Mrabet H. ↓, Boussefiane H. ↑,
68', Brika A. 🟨,
69', Tahiri A. ↓, Harmach A. ↑,
73', Fati Z. ↓, El Badoui M. ↑,
83', Mansouri B. ↓, Legnibi Y. ↑,
84', Brika A. ↓, Dalouzi Y. ↑,
84', Allouch S. ↓, El Jabali D. ↑,
84', Hamza A. ↓, Oudrhiri A. ↑,
90', Noureddine O. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 1, Balouk M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14 in the zone Botola Pro (Relegation)).

Maghreb Fez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yacoub El Mansour is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maghreb Fez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Maghreb Fez is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maghreb Fez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maghreb Fez	2	2	0	0	4:2	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maghreb Fez
Moroccan Botola
25.06.26	Wydad Casablanca - Maghreb Fez	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Maghreb Fez - Berkane	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Maghreb Fez - Difaa El Jadida	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	FUS Rabat - Maghreb Fez	1:1 ✺
09.06.26	Maghreb Fez - FAR Rabat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWTT
- US Yacoub El Mansour
Moroccan Botola
25.06.26	Yacoub El Mansour - Raja Casablanca	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Olympic Safi - Yacoub El Mansour	0:1 ✺
18.06.26	Yacoub El Mansour - Hassania Agadir	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	IR Tanger - Yacoub El Mansour	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Yacoub El Mansour - CODM de Meknès	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Coupe du Trone
17.05.26	Yacoub El Mansour - Maghreb Fez	1:0
Moroccan Botola
20.02.26	Yacoub El Mansour - Maghreb Fez	1:2

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