Match Info

ALGERIA: Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: Boucheligue Brothers Stadium (Magra)


	Magra		Belouizdad

	1	X	2
	4.4	2.9	1.82
	4.5	3.2	1.85	Watch
	4.76	3.05	1.86
	4.01	3.08	2.04	Watch
	4.33	3.1	1.83
	4.52	3.24	1.81
	4.5	3.2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (3.63)	3.11 ↓ (3.31)	1.87 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magra
20.8%

Draw
29.7%

Belouizdad
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.7%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

25.5%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Belouizdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magra than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Magra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belouizdad than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belouizdad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Magra - Belouizdad Predictions

Users Predictions: Belouizdad will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Zeghba M. (G)
	19. Belkhir M.
	3. Benayada H.
	8. Benguit A. (C)
	6. Daibeche O.
	4. Hadded M.
	2. Keddad Ch.
	21. Laouafi Y.
	18. Mahious A.
	9. Mayo K.
	23. Mbe J.
Substitutes
	. Azzi M.
	. Bekkour A.
	. Boukerchaoui B.
	. Boussouar L.
	. Boussouf I. T.
	. Doumbia A.
	. Hamroune R.
	. Maachou R. (G)
	. Souyad B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, Djabout A. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Magra won 0.

Magra is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Belouizdad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Belouizdad is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Magra won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:10 (average 0.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Magra won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NC Magra
Algerian Ligue 1
19.10.24	El Bayadh - Magra	4:0 ✺
12.10.24	Magra - Biskra	2:2 ✺
04.10.24	ES Sétif - Magra	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Magra - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	Olympique Akbou - Magra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTTL
- CR Belouizdad
Algerian Ligue 1
18.10.24	USM Alger - Belouizdad	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Belouizdad - El Bayadh	2:3 ✺
06.10.24	Biskra - Belouizdad	0:0 ✺
02.10.24	Khenchela - Belouizdad	0:0 ✺
27.09.24	Belouizdad - ES Sétif	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
19.03.24	Magra - Belouizdad	0:0
23.09.23	Belouizdad - Magra	1:0
31.05.23	Magra - Belouizdad	0:0
Algerian Cup
27.05.23	Magra - Belouizdad	0:1
Algerian Ligue 1
21.10.22	Belouizdad - Magra	3:1
03.06.22	Belouizdad - Magra	1:2
29.01.22	Magra - Belouizdad	1:0

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