Match Info

League Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium (Maha Sarakham)


	Mahasarakham		Rayong FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	3.45	4.19	1.77	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.53
	5.41	4.02	1.54	Watch
	5	3.6	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.66)	3.9 ↑ (3.73)	1.61 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mahasarakham
19.6%

Draw
23.4%

Rayong FC
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

24.4%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

23.2%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mahasarakham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mahasarakham's form might have worsened.

Rayong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayong FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mahasarakham than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Mahasarakham - Rayong FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Lwin M. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, Junior (Penalty Awarded),
74', 🟥,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mahasarakham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mahasarakham has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rayong FC is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mahasarakham FC
Thai League 2
14.12.25	Mahasarakham - Rasisalai United	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Mahasarakham	0:1 ✺
03.12.25	Mahasarakham - Trat	5:1 ✺
30.11.25	Mahasarakham - Pattani	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Mahasarakham - Police Tero	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL
- Rayong FC
Thai FA Cup
21.12.25	Sisaket United - Rayong FC	1:0 ✺
Thai League 1
16.12.25	Rayong FC - Ratchaburi	2:4 ✺
06.12.25	Lamphun Warriors - Rayong FC	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Rayong FC - Chonburi	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Kanchanaburi - Rayong FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTWT

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