Match Info

National League South - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)


	Maidenhead United		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.50	3.60
	1.78	3.50	3.70
	1.81	3.94	4.23
	1.92	3.97	3.36	Watch
	1.78	3.90	3.80
	1.87	3.84	3.64
	1.81	3.60	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.7)	3.75 ↓ (3.85)	3.73 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
50.6%

Draw
24.6%

Farnborough
24.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.1%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

23.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maidenhead United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Maidenhead United - Farnborough Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maidenhead (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Maidenhead (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Maidenhead (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Ragguette J. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Barratt S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidenhead won 0.

Maidenhead is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Farnborough has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Maidenhead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Farnborough has had a series of home games.

Maidenhead might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Maidenhead won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Maidenhead won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Farnborough	11	4	2	5	10:17	-7	14
18	Maidenhead	12	3	4	5	13:14	-1	13

Outrights of English National League South for now

Maidenhead: 1.14% Farnborough: 0.74%

Last Results with these Odds

Maidenhead United - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.57%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League South
18.08.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Maidenhead United - Dorking Wanderers	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Truro City - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Brackley Town - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Maidenhead United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLLL
- Farnborough
English National League South
19.08.26	Farnborough - Chesham United	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Farnborough - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Farnborough - Bath City	3:0 ✺
29.07.26	Farnborough - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Aldershot Town - Farnborough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.02.26	Maidenhead United - Farnborough	2:2
25.10.25	Farnborough - Maidenhead United	1:0
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Farnborough - Maidenhead United	1:1
30.07.22	Farnborough - Maidenhead United	1:0
English FA Trophy
12.01.15	Farnborough - Maidenhead United	1:0
10.01.15	Maidenhead United - Farnborough	2:2
English National League South
20.12.14	Farnborough - Maidenhead United	1:1

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