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Current Win Probability
Ebbsfleet United 60%
Draw 22.6%
Maidenhead United 17.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.1%
25.6%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
24.3%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebbsfleet United's performance.
Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maidenhead United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebbsfleet United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maidenhead United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Ebbsfleet United - Maidenhead United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Semi - finals and 18th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 3.
Ebbsfleet arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Maidenhead has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ebbsfleet may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ebbsfleet has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Ebbsfleet carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Ebbsfleet in today's match, at odds of 1.52.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ebbsfleet has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:20 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ebbsfleet against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:11 goals (averaging 1.6:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Ebbsfleet
10
6
4
0
22:6
16
22
18
Maidenhead
12
3
4
5
13:14
-1
13
Outrights of English National League South for now
Ebbsfleet: 19.79% Maidenhead: 1.14%
Last Results with these Odds
Maidenhead United - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 24.25%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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