Match Info

National League South - Round 14

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Maidenhead United		Horsham

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	2.02	3.3	3.25
	2.2	3.43	3.16
	2.03	3.49	3.43	Watch
	2.15	3.15	3.05
	2.07	3.38	3.06
	2.08	3.20	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.84)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	3.16 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
43.6%

Draw
27.5%

Horsham
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maidenhead United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Maidenhead United - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Meekums R. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Pendlebury A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 18th and 13th).

Maidenhead is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Horsham have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Horsham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Maidenhead holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Maidenhead has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Maidenhead against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Horsham FC	14	4	7	3	16:16	0	19
18	Maidenhead	14	3	5	6	14:19	-5	14

Outrights of English National League South for now

Horsham FC: 1.82% Maidenhead: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League South
24.10.26	Ebbsfleet United - Maidenhead United	4:0 ✺
17.10.26	Maidstone United - Maidenhead United	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Maidenhead United - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Chesham United - Maidenhead United	0:4 ✺
12.09.26	Maidenhead United - Billericay Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWT
- Horsham FC
English National League South
24.10.26	Horsham - Walton & Hersham	1:0 ✺
20.10.26	Ebbsfleet United - Horsham	2:2 ✺
17.10.26	Slough Town - Horsham	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Horsham - Maidstone United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Plymouth Parkway - Horsham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
03.01.26	Horsham - Maidenhead United	1:2
25.08.25	Maidenhead United - Horsham	2:1

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