Match Info

National League South - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)


	Maidenhead United		Horsham

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.7	3.7
	1.72	3.9	3.85
	1.74	4.33	3.86
	1.86	3.53	3.91	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.76	3.74	4.06
	1.55	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.55)	3.86 ↓ (4.2)	4.02 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
53.2%

Draw
23.9%

Horsham
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

21.8%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

20.9%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maidenhead United's form might have worsened.

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maidenhead United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Maidenhead United - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Fenelon S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Clerima R. ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, Mitchell-Lawson J. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Maidenhead is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League South
23.08.25	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
19.08.25	Maidenhead United - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Enfield Town - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Maidenhead United - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Oxford City - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTTLW
- Horsham FC
English National League South
23.08.25	Horsham - Torquay United	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Chesham United - Horsham	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Horsham - Worthing	3:4 ✺
09.08.25	Chelmsford City - Horsham	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Horsham - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTLLT

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