Match Info

Date: 25 September 2021, Saturday


	Maidenhead United		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.75
	4	3.5	1.82
	4.25	3.25	1.85
	4	3.6	1.78
	4.3	3.78	1.81
	2.8	3.25	2.3
	4.25	3.7	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.01)	3.53 ↓ (3.57)	1.87 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
23.8%

Draw
26.4%

Grimsby Town
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

19.4%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maidenhead United's form might have worsened.

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grimsby Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimsby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maidenhead United - Grimsby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Maidenhead is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grimsby in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Maidenhead could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Grimsby will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League
18.09.21	Notts County - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
14.09.21	Maidenhead United - Stockport County	0:2 ✺
04.09.21	Maidenhead United - Torquay United	3:4 ✺
30.08.21	Weymouth - Maidenhead United	3:1 ✺
28.08.21	Maidenhead United - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- Grimsby Town
English National League
18.09.21	Grimsby Town - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
14.09.21	Grimsby Town - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
11.09.21	Torquay United - Grimsby Town	1:3 ✺
04.09.21	Grimsby Town - Barnet	4:3 ✺
31.08.21	Stockport County - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
11.01.14	Grimsby Town - Maidenhead United	2:1

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