Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 40

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Yates O. (Eng)


	Grimsby Town		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2.05
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	3.75	3.4	2	Watch
	3.71	3.44	2.09
	3.71	3.44	2.08
	3.4	3.5	2.05
	3.54	3.44	2.02	Watch
	3.45	3.45	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.65)	3.45 ↓ (3.64)	2.05 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
26.4%

Draw
27.4%

Wrexham
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.9%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Grimsby Town - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Wrexham will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cartwright H. (G) 28. Mullarkey T. 24. Tharme D. 5. Rodgers H. 33. Hume D. 15. Clifton H. 6. Thompson C. 4. Green K. 8. Holohan G. (C) 20. Obikwu J. 25. Wilson D.	33. Okonkwo A. (G) 17. Bolton L. 32. Cleworth M. 15. O'Connell E. 25. Boyle W. 19. Mendy J. 20. Cannon A. 22. O'Connor T. 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O. 10. Mullin P. (C)
Substitutes
19. Andrews J. 12. Eastwood J. (G) 14. Gnahoua A. 9. Pyke R. 2. Smith L. 10. Vernam C. 18. Wood H.	18. Dalby S. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 11. Marriott J. 3. McFadzean C. 4. Tozer B. 8. Young L.
Coaches
Artell D.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Cannon A. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Cannon A. ⚽, O'Connor T. (A),
42', 0 - 3, Mullin P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mendy J. ↓, McFadzean C. ↑,
48', Hume D. 🟨,
61', Hume D. ↓, Gnahoua A. ↑,
61', Holohan G. ↓, Wood H. ↑,
61', Green K. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
71', Cannon A. ↓, Young L. ↑,
73', Wilson D. ↓, Pyke R. ↑,
81', 1 - 3, Gnahoua A. ⚽, Clifton H. (A),
86', Mullin P. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
87', Palmer O. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
90+4', Cleworth M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 3.

Grimsby is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Wrexham is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wrexham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
16.03.24	Gillingham - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
12.03.24	Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Sutton United - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
05.03.24	AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Grimsby Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWTTW
- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
16.03.24	Wrexham - Tranmere Rovers	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Wrexham - Harrogate Town	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Morecambe - Wrexham	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Wrexham - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
27.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
16.09.23	Wrexham - Grimsby Town	3:0
English National League
28.05.22	Wrexham - Grimsby Town	4:5 ET
25.01.22	Wrexham - Grimsby Town	1:0
14.09.21	Grimsby Town - Wrexham	3:1
26.03.16	Grimsby Town - Wrexham	1:0
22.09.15	Wrexham - Grimsby Town	0:0
11.04.15	Grimsby Town - Wrexham	0:1

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