Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 37

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Maidenhead United		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.15
	3.1	3.25	2.05
	3.25	3.4	2.13
	3.38	3.6	2.09
	3.32	3.48	2.1	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.38
	3.29	3.42	2.06
	3.25	3.4	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.71)	3.41 ↑ (3.33)	2.14 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
29.1%

Draw
27.3%

Sutton United
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.5%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

27.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Maidenhead United - Sutton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ross C. (G) 23. Abrahams T. 25. Barratt S. 8. Ferguson N. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 24. Massey A. 9. McCoulsky S. 30. Onariase E. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R. 22. Welch-Hayes M.	1. Sims J. (G) 14. Barbrook F. 17. Boateng N. 9. Davies W. (C) 11. De Silva D. 22. Jackson R. 15. Muller H. 6. Odelusi S. 8. Simper L. 16. Taylor J. 12. Vaz E.
Substitutes
32. Ajose J. 20. Clerima R. 19. Cochrane O. 1. Collins H. (G) 10. Ferdinand K. 15. Johnson J. 14. Sho-Silva T.	25. Arnold S. (G) 7. Coley J. 24. Nadesan A. 5. Ransom H. 28. Sandat H. 27. Tume V. 20. Wadham J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, De Silva D. ⚽,
33', Simper L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Ferguson N. 🟨,
65', De Silva D. ↓, Nadesan A. ↑,
65', Boateng N. ↓, Coley J. ↑,
70', Ferguson N. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 2.

Maidenhead is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sutton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sutton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:20 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Maidenhead won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League
04.03.25	Maidenhead United - Braintree Town	3:3 ✺
01.03.25	Forest Green Rovers - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Maidenhead United - York City	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Maidenhead United - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Oldham Athletic - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLLLW
- Sutton United
English National League
04.03.25	Solihull Moors - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
01.03.25	Sutton United - Spennymoor Town	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
25.02.25	Sutton United - Manchester United U21	3:0 ✺
English National League
22.02.25	Sutton United - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
18.02.25	Gateshead - Sutton United	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.11.24	Sutton United - Maidenhead United	1:0
15.05.21	Maidenhead United - Sutton United	0:3
03.10.20	Sutton United - Maidenhead United	3:0
31.08.19	Sutton United - Maidenhead United	0:3
09.03.19	Maidenhead United - Sutton United	1:0
24.11.18	Sutton United - Maidenhead United	0:1
17.04.18	Maidenhead United - Sutton United	2:1

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