Match Info

ENGLAND: National League Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)


	Sutton United		Manchester United U21

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	2.95
	2.08	3.89	2.99
	2.04	3.96	2.9	Watch
	2.08	3.82	2.94
	2.05	3.75	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.3)	3.83 ↑ (3.79)	2.95 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
44.7%

Draw
24%

Manchester United U21
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

24%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

24.2%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sutton United's performance.

Manchester United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Sutton United - Manchester United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims J. (G) 14. Barbrook F. 17. Boateng N. 11. De Silva D. 4. French T. (C) 15. Muller H. 5. Ransom H. 16. Taylor J. 33. Topalloj B. 27. Tume V. 30. Woodyard A.	1. Murdock W. (G) 3. Fredricson T. (C) 9. Ibragimov A. 7. Kone S. 4. Kukonki G. 6. McAllister F. 11. Moorhouse J. 5. Murray S. 2. Ogunneye H. 8. Rowe T. 10. Thwaites J.
Substitutes
7. Coley J. 26. Eccleston J. 31. Kerbey M. (G) 35. Kirk A. 6. Odelusi S. 8. Simper L. 20. Wadham J.	15. Lusale S. 14. Mills A. F. 13. Myles T. (G) 12. Plunkett D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Taylor J. ↓, Kirk A. ↑,
23', Ogunneye H. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Barbrook F. ⚽, French T. (A),
36', Topalloj B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Woodyard A. ↓, Odelusi S. ↑,
46', Barbrook F. ↓, Wadham J. ↑,
58', McAllister F. ↓, Lusale S. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Boateng N. ⚽, French T. (A),
68', 3 - 0, Wadham J. ⚽,
70', Kukonki G. ↓, Plunkett D. ↑,
70', Thwaites J. ↓, Mills A. F. ↑,
77', Kirk A. ↓, Eccleston J. ↑,
88', Lusale S. 🟨,
90', Boateng N. ↓, Simper L. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sutton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
22.02.25	Sutton United - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
18.02.25	Gateshead - Sutton United	4:3 ✺
15.02.25	Oldham Athletic - Sutton United	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
04.02.25	Sutton United - Nottingham Forest U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLW
- Manchester United U21
English Premier League 2
21.02.25	Chelsea U21 - Manchester United U21	2:0 ✺
17.02.25	Manchester United U21 - Fulham U21	0:1 ✺
07.02.25	Manchester United U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	2:0 ✺
English National League Cup
29.01.25	Oldham Athletic - Manchester United U21	0:5 ✺
English Premier League 2
26.01.25	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Manchester United U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWW

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