Match Info

National League - Round 43

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Maidenhead United		Woking

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	1.87	3.3	3.5
	2.19	3.35	3.15
	1.95	3.3	4.23
	2.31	3.24	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.9
	2.18	3.34	3.08
	2.19	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.55)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	3.28 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
43.5%

Draw
28.1%

Woking
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

27.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maidenhead United's performance.

Woking has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Woking might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maidenhead United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Woking than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Woking could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Maidenhead United - Woking Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maidenhead will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Woking will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maidenhead (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Howes S. (G) 20. Clerima R. 4. De Havilland W. (C) 10. Ferdinand K. 8. Ferguson N. 21. Kiernan B. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 9. McCoulsky S. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R. 22. Welch-Hayes M.	22. Jaaskelainen W. (G) 16. Akinola O. 6. Andrews J. 12. Effiong I. (C) 8. Gorman D. 14. Hinds T. 27. Kelly-Evans D. 9. O'Brien A. 5. Odusina T. 4. Okoli C. 10. Walker L.
Substitutes
23. Abrahams T. 25. Barratt S. 19. Cochrane O. 15. Johnson J. 24. Massey A. 14. Sho-Silva T. 26. Wreh C.	23. Anderson J. 20. Ashford S. 15. Chicksen A. 29. Lawson S. 2. Moss D. 18. Osude J. 28. Webber O. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Kiernan B. ⚽,
31', Clerima R. ↓, Massey A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Akinola O. ↓, Osude J. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Welch-Hayes M. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Walker L. ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, O'Brien A. ⚽,
69', Ferguson N. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
76', Kiernan B. 🟨,
79', Pettit C. ↓, Barratt S. ↑,
79', Kiernan B. ↓, Abrahams T. ↑,
87', O'Brien A. 🟨,
90+3', Okoli C. 🟨,
90+4', Osude J. ↓, Anderson J. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 1.

Recent matches Maidenhead is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Woking is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Woking could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:22 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Maidenhead won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League
12.04.25	Halifax Town - Maidenhead United	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Maidenhead United - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Maidenhead United - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
18.03.25	Maidenhead United - Aldershot Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLTL
- Woking
English National League
12.04.25	Woking - Fylde	1:0 ✺
08.04.25	Oldham Athletic - Woking	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.04.25	Aldershot Town - Woking	2:1 ✺
English National League
01.04.25	Woking - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Woking - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
01.01.25	Woking - Maidenhead United	3:1
23.12.23	Woking - Maidenhead United	0:0
02.09.23	Maidenhead United - Woking	0:0
11.03.23	Woking - Maidenhead United	2:0
17.09.22	Maidenhead United - Woking	1:0
12.03.22	Woking - Maidenhead United	1:0
23.10.21	Maidenhead United - Woking	3:2

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