Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 30

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Maidenhead United		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.25
	2.8	3.3	2.15
	2.9	3.45	2.27
	3.01	3.43	2.34
	2.88	3.3	2.41	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.25
	2.83	3.44	2.28
	2.9	3.45	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.84)	3.38 ↑ (3.32)	2.28 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
32.2%

Draw
27.3%

Aldershot Town
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

27.9%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Maidenhead United - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Aldershot will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aldershot: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ross C. (G) 23. Abrahams T. 20. Clerima R. 19. Cochrane O. 4. De Havilland W. 10. Ferdinand K. 15. Johnson J. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 9. McCoulsky S. 30. Onariase E. 16. Pettit C.	28. Dewhurst M. (G) 36. Armitage W. 22. Barham J. 35. Ellison D. 8. Frost T. 7. Hargreaves C. 27. Henry J. 17. Jones A. (C) 32. Maja E. 24. Mullins M. 33. Woodhouse L.
Substitutes
32. Ajose J. 25. Barratt S. 1. Collins H. (G) 21. Kiernan B. 14. Sho-Silva T. 17. Smith R. 37. Stewart N.	12. Anderson K. 10. Barrett J. 14. Bray O. 9. Corbett K. 4. Jenkins L. 11. Jones R. 1. van Stappershoef J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Abrahams T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Frost T. ⚽,
61', Henry J. ↓, Barrett J. ↑,
62', Johnson J. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
65', Abrahams T. 🟨,
67', Maja E. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
68', Mullins M. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
70', Jones A. 🟨,
70', Anderson K. 🟨,
77', Cochrane O. ↓, Barratt S. ↑,
82', Latty-Fairweather T. ↓, Sho-Silva T. ↑,
89', Ferdinand K. ↓, Kiernan B. ↑,
89', Barham J. ↓, Jenkins L. ↑,
90', Ellison D. ↓, Bray O. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 2.

Maidenhead is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aldershot is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aldershot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:28 (average 1.7:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Maidenhead won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:15 (average 2.4:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League
15.03.25	Gateshead - Maidenhead United	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Maidenhead United - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
04.03.25	Maidenhead United - Braintree Town	3:3 ✺
01.03.25	Forest Green Rovers - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Maidenhead United - York City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLTLL
- Aldershot Town
English National League
15.03.25	Altrincham - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
11.03.25	Aldershot Town - Leeds United U21	1:3 ✺
English National League
08.03.25	Aldershot Town - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
04.03.25	Aldershot Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
01.03.25	Sittingbourne - Aldershot Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
31.08.24	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	4:3
29.03.24	Maidenhead United - Aldershot Town	4:0
24.10.23	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	4:2
14.03.23	Maidenhead United - Aldershot Town	1:1
12.11.22	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	1:2
02.05.22	Maidenhead United - Aldershot Town	2:2
08.01.22	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	1:1

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