Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 39

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Maidenhead United		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.91
	3.7	3.3	1.82
	3.55	3.45	2.01
	3.75	3.51	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.95
	3.7	3.5	1.9
	3.55	3.45	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (4.19)	3.42 ↓ (3.53)	1.94 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
25.1%

Draw
27.1%

Rochdale
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.4%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

25.7%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Maidenhead United - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maidenhead will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Rochdale will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ross C. (G) 20. Clerima R. 19. Cochrane O. 4. De Havilland W. 10. Ferdinand K. 21. Kiernan B. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 30. Onariase E. 16. Pettit C. 14. Sho-Silva T. 17. Smith R.	13. Waller S. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 7. Allarakhia T. 18. Barlow A. 33. Beckwith S. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. (C) 40. Henderson I. 26. Hogan L. 28. Kingdon J. 9. Mitchell K.
Substitutes
32. Ajose J. 25. Barratt S. 1. Collins H. (G) 15. Johnson J. 24. Massey A. 37. Stewart N. 12. Wreh C.	11. Adu Poku M. 15. Ayinde L. 30. Buyabu J. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. 21. McBride C. 10. Rodney D. 31. Weston C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Henderson I. ⚽,
40', Mitchell K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Kiernan B. ⚽,
67', Kiernan B. ↓, Wreh C. ↑,
69', De Havilland W. 🟨,
70', Henderson I. ↓, Ayinde L. ↑,
70', Allarakhia T. ↓, Adu Poku M. ↑,
77', Sho-Silva T. ↓, Barratt S. ↑,
82', Barlow A. ↓, Rodney D. ↑,
85', Barratt S. 🟨,
90', Pettit C. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Maidenhead is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rochdale is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rochdale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rochdale have a series of home games.

In this match Rochdale is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Maidenhead won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League
18.03.25	Maidenhead United - Aldershot Town	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Gateshead - Maidenhead United	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Maidenhead United - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
04.03.25	Maidenhead United - Braintree Town	3:3 ✺
01.03.25	Forest Green Rovers - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLTL
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
18.03.25	Rochdale - Boston United	2:3 ✺
15.03.25	Oldham Athletic - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
11.03.25	Rochdale - Altrincham	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Rochdale - Wealdstone	4:1 ✺
04.03.25	Rochdale - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
10.09.24	Rochdale - Maidenhead United	3:1
23.03.24	Rochdale - Maidenhead United	1:0
07.10.23	Maidenhead United - Rochdale	2:2

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