Match Info

National League South - Round 39

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Gallagher Stadium (Maidstone)


	Maidstone United		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.25	5.5
	1.52	4.25	5.47
	1.52	4.43	5.41	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.47	4.05	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.54)	4.2 ↑ (3.93)	5.54 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidstone United
61.4%

Draw
22%

Farnborough
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.4%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.9%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Maidstone United - Farnborough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Gilbert J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 and 20).

Maidstone is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Farnborough has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Maidstone is a strong favorite.

We predict that Maidstone will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Maidstone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Maidstone: 9.77% Farnborough: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maidstone	10	6	1	3	18:11	7	19
18	Farnborough	9	3	2	4	8:13	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidstone United
English National League South
10.03.26	Maidstone United - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Maidenhead United - Maidstone United	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Maidstone United - Weston-super-Mare	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Salisbury - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Maidstone United - Enfield Town	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW
- Farnborough
English National League South
10.03.26	Bath City - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Farnborough - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:3 ✺
03.03.26	Torquay United - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Farnborough - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.10.25	Farnborough - Maidstone United	0:2
26.04.25	Farnborough - Maidstone United	2:2
21.12.24	Maidstone United - Farnborough	4:0
06.04.24	Farnborough - Maidstone United	0:1
21.10.23	Maidstone United - Farnborough	1:1

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