The best margin for this event is 12.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mainz II 40.1%
Draw 24.4%
Ulm 1846 35.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45%
24.6%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulm 1846's recent form is better than expected.
Mainz II - Ulm 1846 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, Heinrich M. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Ugljanin J. ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 1.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Mainz II has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:25 (averaging 1.6:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mainz II against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:14 goals (averaging 2.3:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Mainz II
13
3
2
8
13:26
-13
11
17
Ulm
13
1
7
5
16:23
-7
10
Last Results with these Odds
Ulm 1846 - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 30.41%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.