Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Mainz II		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.05	3.5
	1.76	3.98	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 (1.78)	4.02 ↑ (4.01)	3.52 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz II
51.3%

Draw
22.7%

Freiburg II
25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

23.2%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mainz II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Freiburg II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Mainz II - Freiburg II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 2, ⚽,
68', 0 - 3, ⚽,
88', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mainz II might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mainz II won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Freiburg II	9	4	4	1	18:11	7	16
15	Mainz II	10	3	0	7	10:21	-11	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
09.05.26	FSV Frankfurt - Mainz II	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Mainz II - Sonnenhof Großaspach	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Freiberg - Mainz II	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Mainz II - Sandhausen	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Balingen - Mainz II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTWLT
- Freiburg II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
09.05.26	Freiburg II - Kickers Offenbach	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiburg II	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Astoria Walldorf - Freiburg II	2:3 ✺
21.04.26	Freiburg II - Bahlinger	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Hessen Kassel - Freiburg II	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
16.11.25	Freiburg II - Mainz II	2:1
17.05.25	Freiburg II - Mainz II	1:3
16.11.24	Mainz II - Freiburg II	0:1
28.02.21	Freiburg II - Mainz II	3:1
19.09.20	Mainz II - Freiburg II	2:6
29.09.19	Mainz II - Freiburg II	3:2
18.04.19	Freiburg II - Mainz II	2:1

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