Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Mainz II		VfB Stuttgart II

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2
	3.1	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.28	3.7	2.04
	3.28	3.7	2.04
	3.18	3.63	2.04
	3.15	3.5	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.39)	3.61 ↓ (3.75)	2.03 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz II
29.1%

Draw
25.5%

VfB Stuttgart II
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

24.7%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

24.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mainz II's form might have worsened.

VfB Stuttgart II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting VfB Stuttgart II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mainz II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfB Stuttgart II than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VfB Stuttgart II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mainz II - VfB Stuttgart II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Galjen D. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Muller M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz II won 1.

Recent matches Mainz II is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stuttgart II is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stuttgart II will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Mainz II won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Mainz II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
06.04.24	FSV Frankfurt - Mainz II	2:3 ✺
02.04.24	Mainz II - Bahlinger	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Schott Mainz - Mainz II	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Mainz II - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:3 ✺
17.03.24	Hoffenheim II - Mainz II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLL
- VfB Stuttgart II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
06.04.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Hessen Kassel	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	TuS Koblenz - VfB Stuttgart II	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Kickers Offenbach	0:1 ✺
22.03.24	Homburg - VfB Stuttgart II	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Freiberg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
08.10.23	VfB Stuttgart II - Mainz II	4:0
26.05.23	Mainz II - VfB Stuttgart II	0:1
20.11.22	VfB Stuttgart II - Mainz II	4:1
12.02.22	VfB Stuttgart II - Mainz II	0:2
03.09.21	Mainz II - VfB Stuttgart II	2:4
27.03.21	VfB Stuttgart II - Mainz II	2:3
10.10.20	Mainz II - VfB Stuttgart II	1:0

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