Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Schott Mainz		Mainz II

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.05	1.75
	3.64	4.26	1.77
	3.47	4.05	1.78
	2.7	3.85	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.87)	4.05 ↑ (3.79)	1.86 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schott Mainz
27.6%

Draw
22.8%

Mainz II
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

24.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

23.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schott Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mainz II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schott Mainz than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mainz II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Schott Mainz - Mainz II Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schott Mainz won 0.

Recent form of Schott Mainz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mainz II is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Schott Mainz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Schott Mainz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Schott Mainz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.09.25	Astoria Walldorf - Schott Mainz	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Schott Mainz - Hessen Kassel	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Freiburg II - Schott Mainz	3:3 ✺
30.08.25	FSV Frankfurt - Schott Mainz	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Schott Mainz - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTTL
- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.09.25	Mainz II - Homburg	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Bayern Alzenau - Mainz II	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Mainz II - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Mainz II	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Mainz II - Stuttgarter Kickers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.24	Mainz II - Schott Mainz	2:1
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.03.24	Schott Mainz - Mainz II	1:2
23.09.23	Mainz II - Schott Mainz	3:0
23.04.22	Schott Mainz - Mainz II	0:0
30.10.21	Mainz II - Schott Mainz	1:0
04.04.21	Mainz II - Schott Mainz	3:1
17.10.20	Schott Mainz - Mainz II	3:0

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