Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 10

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Cooks Square Park (Maitland)


	Maitland		Charlestown Azzurri

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.9	2.63	Watch
	2.23	3.83	2.82
	1.45	4.12	6.93	Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.9
	2.04	3.66	2.96	Watch
	1.9	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.9)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)	3.53 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maitland
48%

Draw
25.3%

Charlestown Azzurri
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

24.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

21.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maitland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Charlestown Azzurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maitland than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlestown Azzurri than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Maitland - Charlestown Azzurri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Smale M. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Crowley B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 2 - 1, ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 3.

Maitland is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Charlestown Azzurri's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Maitland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maitland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:22. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Maitland won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maitland FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
24.04.26	Broadmeadow Magic - Maitland	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Maitland - Lambton Jaffas	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	2:5 ✺
28.03.26	Maitland - Kahibah	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Newcastle Olympic - Maitland	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWLW
- Charlestown Azzurri
Australian NPL Northern NSW
25.04.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Edgeworth Eagles - Charlestown Azzurri	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Belmont Swansea United - Charlestown Azzurri	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Kahibah	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Lambton Jaffas - Charlestown Azzurri	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
12.07.25	Maitland - Charlestown Azzurri	3:1
13.04.25	Charlestown Azzurri - Maitland	1:2
11.08.24	Charlestown Azzurri - Maitland	1:0
29.05.24	Maitland - Charlestown Azzurri	2:2
04.06.23	Charlestown Azzurri - Maitland	1:2
18.03.23	Maitland - Charlestown Azzurri	1:2
27.07.22	Maitland - Charlestown Azzurri	1:1

Maitland - Charlestown Azzurri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide