Match Info

Super League 2 - Promotion Group - Round 9

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Monobala


	Makedonikos		AEL Larissa

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.1	1.4
	7.2	5	1.35
	7.92	4.84	1.29
	7.57	4.84	1.33	Watch
	7.75	4.7	1.32
	7.8	4.9	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.46 ↑ (4.87)	4.73 ↑ (3.86)	1.34 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Makedonikos
12.3%

Draw
19.3%

AEL Larissa
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

23.2%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.4%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Makedonikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Makedonikos's form might have worsened.

AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEL Larissa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Makedonikos than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Makedonikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEL Larissa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Makedonikos - AEL Larissa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Makedonikos will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Larissa will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Larissa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Pasas G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, Pasas G. ⚽,
70', 0 - 3, Vafeas N. ⚽,

Preview

Larissa is Qualified for Super League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Makedonikos won 1.

Makedonikos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Larissa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Larissa is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Makedonikos won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:15 (average 0.6:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Makedonikos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Makedonikos FC
Greek Super League 2
06.04.25	PAS Giannina - Makedonikos	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Makedonikos - Kampaniakos	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Makedonikos - Iraklis	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	AEL Larissa - Makedonikos	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Makedonikos - PAS Giannina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLLW
- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League 2
12.04.25	AEL Larissa - PAS Giannina	5:0 ✺
06.04.25	Kampaniakos - AEL Larissa	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	AEL Larissa - Iraklis	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	AEL Larissa - Makedonikos	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	PAS Giannina - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
15.03.25	AEL Larissa - Makedonikos	3:0
11.01.25	Makedonikos - AEL Larissa	0:1
28.10.24	AEL Larissa - Makedonikos	2:0
Greek Cup
14.09.24	Makedonikos - AEL Larissa	0:1 penalties
Greek Super League 2
07.04.24	Makedonikos - AEL Larissa	3:2
21.01.24	Makedonikos - AEL Larissa	0:0
22.10.23	AEL Larissa - Makedonikos	1:1

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