Match Info

Date: 16 March 2022, Wednesday


	Malaga B		Alhaurín de la Torre

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.4	8.5
	1.41	3.8	5.4
	1.24	4.7	8.8
	1.25	4.91	9.61
	1.28	4.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)	4.46 ↑ (3.92)	8.66 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malaga B
69.5%

Draw
20.1%

Alhaurín de la Torre
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.1%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

12.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malaga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malaga B's performance.

Alhaurín de la Torre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malaga B than the current prediction. (-33%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malaga B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhaurín de la Torre than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alhaurín de la Torre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Malaga B - Alhaurín de la Torre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 14).

Malaga B in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alhaurín de la Torre is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Malaga B is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Malaga B to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Malaga B won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Malaga B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malaga B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
13.03.22	Malaga B - Torreperogil	4:0 ✺
06.03.22	Torredonjimeno - Malaga B	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Intergym Melilla - Malaga B	0:4 ✺
13.02.22	Malaga B - Marbella	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Alhaurino - Malaga B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWTW
- Alhaurín de la Torre CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
13.03.22	Motril - Alhaurín de la Torre	3:0 ✺
06.03.22	Alhaurín de la Torre - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Alhaurín de la Torre - UD San Pedro	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	El Palo - Alhaurín de la Torre	0:1 ✺
09.02.22	Torredonjimeno - Alhaurín de la Torre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
31.10.21	Alhaurín de la Torre - Malaga B	1:3
20.12.20	Alhaurín de la Torre - Malaga B	2:2
12.01.20	Malaga B - Alhaurín de la Torre	3:2
25.08.19	Alhaurín de la Torre - Malaga B	0:4

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