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Current Win Probability
Motril 60%
Draw 23.8%
Alhaurín de la Torre 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.1%
23.8%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
14.7%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Alhaurín de la Torre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motril than the current prediction. (-22.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motril that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhaurín de la Torre than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alhaurín de la Torre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 15 in the zone Relegation).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Alhaurín de la Torre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Motril is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Motril won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Motril won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.