Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday

Location: Bingu National Stadium (Lilongwe)

Referee: Akech Malong R. (Ssu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Kenya	Gotv
Liberia	Liberia National TV
Malawi	MBC
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Malawi		Liberia

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.88	3.15	4.25
	1.97	3.11	4.4
	2.78	3.32	2.45	Watch
	1.98	3.13	4.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.4)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	4.05 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malawi
45.9%

Draw
30.3%

Liberia
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malawi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malawi's performance.

Liberia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liberia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Malawi - Liberia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Malawi will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Liberia will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malawi: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Malawi will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Thole W. (G) 6. Aaron L. Muaither SC 5. Chembezi D. Black Leopards 2. Lameck M. Silver Strikers 12. Lungu A. Ekhaya 9. Mbulu R. UD Songo 11. Mhango G. (C) Richards Bay 7. Mpinganjira W. Mighty Wanderers FC 13. Mwaungulu P. Big Bullets 8. Njaliwa L. Costa do Sol 3. Petro C. FC Botosani	1. Yeanaye J. (G) 12. Balde P. Rosengard 19. Dorley O. Slavia Prague 15. Gibson W. Heaven Eleven 5. Kamara K. BEA Mountain 10. Kosiah A. Beerschot VA 13. Laomie N. Watanga 22. Ledlum E. ASO Chlef 3. Sesay S. Gaborone Utd 20. Tarnue P. Watanga 6. Tweh S. Al Raed
Substitutes
14. Blessings S. Mighty Wanderers FC 15. Chirwa G. Ngezi Platinum 10. Kaonga C. Zanaco 17. Kumwenda H. 18. Malango M. Monterey Bay 19. Nkhoma L. Big Bullets 22. Nyasulu N. Platinum 20. Nyirenda E. Mighty Wanderers FC 4. Paipi M. Silver Strikers 21. Saizi R. Zanaco 1. Waka J.	17. Bah M. Sliema 14. Dukuly J. Watanga 21. Farkarlun B. Austin FC 4. Kenneh N. Tranmere 9. Konneh J. 23. Koulibaly A. (G) MC Breweries 2. Nyemah D. Watanga 16. Songo T. (G) 8. Teah D. FK Pardubice
Coaches
Mabedi P.	Kojo T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Kosiah A. ⚽, Sesay S. (A),
29', Balde P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', Mwaungulu P. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Kosiah A. ⚽,
62', Gibson W. ↓, Konneh J. ↑,
63', Ledlum E. ↓, Teah D. ↑,
63', Sesay S. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
70', Aaron L. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Mhango G. ⚽, Malango M. (A),
74', Lameck M. ↓, Kaonga C. ↑,
77', Mpinganjira W. ↓, Nkhoma L. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Kaonga C. ⚽, Mhango G. (A),
88', 🟨,
90+5', Tarnue P. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Liberia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Malawi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Malawi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malawi
FIFA World Cup
05.09.25	Namibia - Malawi	1:2 ✺
COSAFA Cup
10.06.25	Malawi - Angola	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	Namibia - Malawi	0:0 ✺
05.06.25	Malawi - Lesotho	0:1 ✺
African Nations Championship
11.05.25	South Africa - Malawi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTLL
- Liberia
FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Tunisia - Liberia	3:0 ✺
24.03.25	Liberia - São Tomé and Príncipe	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Liberia - Tunisia	0:1 ✺
African Nations Championship
28.12.24	Senegal - Liberia	3:0 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
17.11.24	Algeria - Liberia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
17.11.23	Liberia - Malawi	0:1
Friendly
04.09.12	Liberia - Malawi	1:0

Malawi - Liberia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide