Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bingu National Stadium (Lilongwe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Usa	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports


	Malawi		South Sudan

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.30	5.00
	1.62	3.2	5.9
	1.69	3.33	5.93
	1.68	3.34	5.7	Watch
	1.67	3.2	5.85
	1.7	3.2	5.93	Watch
	1.59	3.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.38)	3.27 ↓ (4.6)	5.64 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malawi
55.6%

Draw
28.1%

South Sudan
16.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66%

19.8%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malawi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malawi's form might have worsened.

South Sudan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Malawi - South Sudan Predictions

Users Predictions: Malawi will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Thole W. (G) 2. Lameck M. Silver Strikers 3. Petro C. (C) FC Botosani 5. Chembezi D. Al-Qassim 22. Nyirenda E. Mighty Wanderers FC 13. Mwaungulu P. Mazembe 6. Blessings S. Mighty Wanderers FC 8. Njaliwa L. Costa do Sol 17. Chirwa G. Mighty Wanderers FC 14. Adepoju B. Costa do Sol 11. Mphasi C. Power Dynamos	23. Mawith M. (C) Port Melbourne Sharks 3. Geriga A. NEC FC 14. Angier R. 2. Laku B. Jamus 13. Bakasoro B. 20. Dhata J. Jamus 5. Yak C. 8. Gama W. Onduparaka 17. Jawa P. Jamus 12. Iluya J. Eilvese 15. Albano M.
Substitutes
1. Chikooka G. (G) Silver Strikers 15. Chirwa G. Ngezi Platinum 21. Duwe F. Silver Strikers 9. Jaziya W. 19. Kaduya A. Silver Strikers 18. Kanowa B. 24. Kondowe E. Big Bullets 10. Madinga F. Mighty Wanderers FC 20. Malango M. Sacramento Republic 7. Mpinganjira W. Associacao Black Bulls 4. Mpokera B. Big Bullets 12. Singo Y. Big Bullets	10. Dwang J. Mahia 7. Kuach Yuel V. Balzan FC 1. Kunyu Salah D. (G) 18. Majak K. 4. Maker P. Leopards 6. Malish J. Kator 21. Manyang J. 9. Valentino P. 11. Yelchan C. Western City Rangers 16. Yogusuk G. (G)
Coaches
Pasuwa C.	N'Sengi Biembe C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Adepoju B. ⚽,
28', Albano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mphasi C. ↓, Mpinganjira W. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Dhata J. ⚽,
54', Iluya J. ↓, Kuach Yuel V. ↑,
54', Jawa P. ↓, Majak K. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Njaliwa L. ⚽,
74', Mwaungulu P. ↓, Madinga F. ↑,
76', Madinga F. 🟨,
77', Adepoju B. ↓, Kondowe E. ↑,
80', Albano M. ↓, Dwang J. ↑,
81', Yak C. ↓, Malish J. ↑,
84', Angier R. 🟨,
87', Blessings S. ↓, Singo Y. ↑,
87', Chirwa G. ↓, Kaduya A. ↑,

Preview

Malawi is ranked FIFA: 129., and South Sudan is ranked FIFA: 169..

In this matchup, Malawi is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Malawi has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.7:0.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malawi
Friendly
09.06.26	Ethiopia - Malawi	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Ethiopia - Malawi	1:0 ✺
31.03.26	Botswana - Malawi	1:0 ✺
18.11.25	Lesotho - Malawi	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Lesotho - Malawi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWT
- South Sudan
Africa Cup of Nations
29.03.26	South Sudan - Djibouti	0:1 ✺
26.03.26	Djibouti - South Sudan	0:4 ✺
FIFA Arab Cup
25.11.25	Syria - South Sudan	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
13.10.25	South Sudan - Togo	0:0 ✺
10.10.25	South Sudan - Senegal	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
24.03.21	South Sudan - Malawi	0:1
13.11.19	Malawi - South Sudan	1:0
CECAFA Championship
27.11.15	South Sudan - Malawi	2:0

Malawi - South Sudan