Match Info

LaLiga - Round 1

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Mallorca		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.25	1.36	Watch
	7.75	5	1.39
	7.9	5.4	1.35	Watch
	8.23	5.5	1.38
	18.79	9.12	1.11	Watch
	7.5	4.8	1.36
	8.3	5.6	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.42 ↑ (5.44)	5.81 ↑ (4.39)	1.34 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
10.3%

Draw
16.8%

Barcelona
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

21.8%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mallorca's form might have worsened.

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	4.3%	87%

Mallorca - Barcelona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Mallorca (1.54) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.75 - Barcelona (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Barcelona (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Barcelona (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (79 of 91 users predict this - 86.81%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.86% – 93.76%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 52 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 5 - 9.6%). Barcelona (votes: 45 - 86.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 3.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roman L. (G) 2. Morey Bauza M. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 22. Mojica J. 8. Morlanes M. 6. Sanchez A. 11. Asano T. 20. Torre P. 10. Darder S. 7. Muriqi V.	13. Garcia J. (G) 24. Garcia E. 4. Araujo R. (C) 5. Cubarsi P. 3. Balde A. 21. de Jong F. 8. Pedri 10. Yamal L. 16. Lopez F. 11. Raphinha 7. Torres F.
Substitutes
31. Bergstrom L. (G) 30. Domenech M. 18. Joseph M. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 29. Luna D. 5. Mascarell O. 9. Prats A. 14. Rodriguez D. 28. Salas J. 26. Salhi I.	17. Casado M. 15. Christensen A. 30. Fernandez G. 27. Fernandez P. 29. Fernandez T. 6. Gavi 31. Kochen D. (G) 23. Kounde J. 20. Olmo D. 1. Pena I. (G) 14. Rashford M. 26. Torrents J.
Coaches
Arrasate J.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Raphinha ⚽, Yamal L. (A),
9', Morey Bauza M. 🟨,
23', 0 - 2, Torres F. ⚽,
24', Morlanes M. 🟨,
25', Arrasate J. 🟨,
33', Morlanes M. 🟨,
39', Muriqi V. 🟥,
42', Torre P. 🟨,
45+7', Raphinha 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lopez F. ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
46', Torre P. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
46', Morey Bauza M. ↓, Mascarell O. ↑,
46', Asano T. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
68', Balde A. ↓, Torrents J. ↑,
69', Cubarsi P. ↓, Gavi ↑,
69', Torres F. ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
77', Raphinha ↓, Kounde J. ↑,
83', Darder S. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
90+1', Mojica J. ↓, Lato T. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 3, Yamal L. ⚽, Gavi (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 0.

Mallorca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Recently, Mallorca has had a series of home games.

In this match, Barcelona is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Mallorca: Pichu Cuellar (Ankle Injury) Samu Costa (Knock)

There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Lewandowski R. (Muscle Injury) ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 8:36. (average 0.6:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mallorca - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Poblense - Mallorca	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Mallorca - Parma	1:1 ✺
30.07.25	Mallorca - Lyon	0:4 ✺
27.07.25	Mallorca - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTLW
- FC Barcelona
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Barcelona - Como	5:0 ✺
04.08.25	Daegu - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
31.07.25	FC Seoul - Barcelona	3:7 ✺
27.07.25	Vissel Kobe - Barcelona	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.05.25	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
22.04.25	Barcelona - Mallorca	1:0
03.12.24	Mallorca - Barcelona	1:5
08.03.24	Barcelona - Mallorca	1:0
26.09.23	Mallorca - Barcelona	2:2
28.05.23	Barcelona - Mallorca	3:0
01.10.22	Mallorca - Barcelona	0:1
01.05.22	Barcelona - Mallorca	2:1

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