Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Mallorca B		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.2	1.73
	4.4	3.3	1.75
	4.15	3.47	1.81
	4	3.45	1.83	Watch
	4.62	3.26	1.79
	4.4	3.3	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↓ (8.37)	3.33 ↓ (4.3)	1.78 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca B
21.2%

Draw
27.4%

Sabadell
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

21.3%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5%

20.6%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mallorca B's performance.

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sabadell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca B than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mallorca B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sabadell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mallorca B - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Delgado Quintana J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, Pedraza A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sabadell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sabadell have a series of home games.

In this match Sabadell is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mallorca B won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Mallorca B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mallorca B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.11.24	Sant Andreu - Mallorca B	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Mallorca B - Cornellà	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Lleida - Mallorca B	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Mallorca B - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Andratx - Mallorca B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTLLT
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.11.24	Sabadell - Elche Ilicitano	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Sabadell - Olot	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Sabadell - Atlético Baleares	3:2 ✺
13.10.24	Sant Andreu - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sabadell - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.02.17	Mallorca B - Sabadell	0:0
01.10.16	Sabadell - Mallorca B	1:1

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