Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Sabadell		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.56	3.75	5.2
	1.56	3.72	5.82
	1.58	3.72	5.36
	1.54	3.85	5.76
	1.56	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.97)	3.76 ↑ (3.17)	5.39 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
58.7%

Draw
24.3%

Elche Ilicitano
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

28.3%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabadell's performance.

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche Ilicitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabadell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche Ilicitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sabadell - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', Felipe P. 🟨,
68', 1 - 0, Saez M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, Ripoll T. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 0, Ripoll T. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Sabadell is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
27.10.24	Sabadell - Olot	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Sabadell - Atlético Baleares	3:2 ✺
13.10.24	Sant Andreu - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sabadell - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Lleida - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
27.10.24	Cornellà - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Elche Ilicitano - Lleida	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Elche Ilicitano	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Elche Ilicitano - Andratx	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Espanyol B - Elche Ilicitano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWTT

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