Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 6

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play


	Malmö		Öster

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	13	Watch
	1.23	6.25	12
	1.22	7	13	Watch
	1.24	6.34	13.56
	1.26	6	11.51	Watch
	1.29	5	10
	1.23	6.15	13	Watch
	1.22	6.95	12.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)	6.18 ↑ (5.5)	12.32 ↑ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
76.9%

Draw
15.4%

Öster
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

17.3%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

16.9%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malmö's performance.

Öster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Öster than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Malmö - Öster Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Malmö (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ricardo Friedrich (G) 17. Stryger J. 19. Rosler C. 35. Zatterstrom N. 25. Busanello 16. Berg O. 7. Rosengren O. 23. Johnsen L. (C) 38. Bolin H. 11. Ekong E. 9. Kiese I.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Varmanen T. 5. Adolfsson M. 15. Kricak I. (C) 21. Bergquist L. 18. Ljung D. 3. Gyamfi K. 8. Ask D. 25. Sanyang Y. 20. Aliev A. 19. Tamminen M.
Substitutes
22. Ali T. 20. Botheim E. 33. Ellborg M. (G) 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 2. Karlsson J. 6. Lewicki O. 34. Loukili Z. 13. Olsson M. 37. Skogmar A.	16. Adjei R. 26. Christensen M. 22. Gabrielsson O. 32. Lundahl C. (G) 14. Olsson D. 23. Rodic V. 6. Soderberg N. 9. Soderberg N. 4. Starke S.
Coaches
Rydstrom H.	Foyston M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Bolin H. ⚽, Rosengren O. (A),
38', Rosler C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Kiese I. ⚽, Bolin H. (A),
56', Tamminen M. ↓, Rodic V. ↑,
57', Zatterstrom N. 🟨,
58', Varmanen T. ↓, Adjei R. ↑,
61', Gyamfi K. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
67', Kiese I. ↓, Botheim E. ↑,
67', Ekong E. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
77', Kricak I. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
77', Bergquist L. ↓, Olsson D. ↑,
83', Ljung D. 🟨,
83', Rosengren O. ↓, Skogmar A. ↑,
89', Berg O. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
90+5', Stryger J. 🟨,
90+5', Sanyang Y. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

Recent matches Malmö is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Öster is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Malmö is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Malmö: Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Holmquist S. (Back Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Lewicki O. (Calf Injury) Olsson M. (Inactive) Tinnerholm A. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Malmö: Jansson P. (Inactive) Sigurdsson A. (Inactive)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Malmö won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Malmö won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.04.25	Hammarby - Malmö	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Malmö - Sirius	1:1 ✺
14.04.25	AIK - Malmö	0:0 ✺
07.04.25	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Djurgården - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTWW
- Östers IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.04.25	Djurgården - Öster	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Öster - AIK	0:1 ✺
14.04.25	Halmstad - Öster	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Öster - Häcken	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Norrköping - Öster	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
17.02.24	Malmö - Öster	2:0
25.02.19	Öster - Malmö	2:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.09.13	Öster - Malmö	1:1
22.04.13	Malmö - Öster	2:0
Svenska Cupen
02.03.13	Malmö - Öster	1:1

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