Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Malmö		Kalmar

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.75	4.1
	1.75	3.70	4.33
	1.75	3.6	4.35
	1.79	3.97	4.12
	1.78	3.94	4.12
	1.75	3.85	3.95
	1.76	3.78	4.23	Watch
	1.77	3.65	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)	3.78 ↓ (3.84)	4.14 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
53%

Draw
24.6%

Kalmar
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

24.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

23.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Malmö - Kalmar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1.

Malmö has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kalmar has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Malmö is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Malmö has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:14 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Malmö against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 25:6 goals (averaging 2.3:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Malmo FF: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37:33	4	33
13	Kalmar	22	5	4	13	21:36	-15	19

Last Results with these Odds

Malmö - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.17%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Kalmar - the odds 4.08 are the expected chance of winning is 22.7%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.09.26	Västerås SK - Malmö	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Malmö - Örgryte	4:1 ✺
07.09.26	Malmö - AIK	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Sirius - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
27.08.26	Lindö - Malmö	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTWW
- Kalmar FF
Club Friendly
06.10.26	Norrköping - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.09.26	Kalmar - Häcken	0:5 ✺
13.09.26	Elfsborg - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Kalmar - Djurgården	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Halmstad - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.26	Kalmar - Malmö	2:2
Club Friendly
20.03.26	Malmö - Kalmar	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.08.24	Kalmar - Malmö	2:2
24.05.24	Malmö - Kalmar	5:0
08.10.23	Kalmar - Malmö	1:0
01.04.23	Malmö - Kalmar	1:0
28.08.22	Malmö - Kalmar	0:1

Malmö - Kalmar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide