Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Georgia	1TV
Sweden	MFF Play Premium
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Malmö		Iberia 1999

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	9	Watch
	1.26	5.75	11
	1.24	5.4	11	Watch
	1.19	6.93	14.73
				Watch
	1.3	4.8	9
	1.26	5.98	12.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	5.89 ↑ (5.5)	11.22 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
75.7%

Draw
15.9%

Iberia 1999
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

16.6%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

15.3%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malmö's performance.

Iberia 1999 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iberia 1999 than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	15.2%	3%

Malmö - Iberia 1999 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Malmö (1.59) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC, 1st Half - Iberia 1999 (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (9.24) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Iberia 1999 (5.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.73% – 94.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Malmö will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Iberia 1999 (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Ellborg M. (G) 17. Stryger J. 18. Jansson P. (C) 19. Rosler C. 25. Busanello 2. Karlsson J. 7. Rosengren O. 23. Johnsen L. 16. Berg O. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 22. Ali T.	31. Makaridze G. (G) 20. Zohouri A. 24. Agyakwa D. 4. Jgerenaia G. 23. Tabatadze G. 8. Kardava B. 11. Mamageishvili G. (C) 6. Dadiani N. 10. Silagadze L. 32. Rusevic A. 7. Tabatadze I.
Substitutes
38. Bolin H. 40. Busuladzic K. 11. Ekong E. 29. Haksabanovic S. 9. Kiese I. 6. Lewicki O. 34. Loukili Z. 13. Olsson M. 1. Ricardo Friedrich (G) 8. Sigurdsson A. 37. Skogmar A. 35. Zatterstrom N.	29. Akhvlediani T. 25. Amisulashvili A. 12. Bochorishvili S. (G) 9. Dzagania A. 14. Goshteliani G. 30. Khorkheli N. 33. Klas D. 40. Kobuladze G. 15. Kukalia G. 1. Megrelishvili T. (G) 18. Sikharulidze I. 13. Vrbanec M.
Coaches
Rydstrom H.	Korghalidze L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Johnsen L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Karlsson J. ↓, Zatterstrom N. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Ali T. ⚽, Johnsen L. (A),
60', 2 - 0, Jansson P. ⚽, Rosengren O. (A),
61', Rusevic A. ↓, Khorkheli N. ↑,
61', Silagadze L. ↓, Vrbanec M. ↑,
62', Mamageishvili G. 🟥,
63', Jansson P. 🟨,
65', Johnsen L. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
65', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
65', Jansson P. ↓, Lewicki O. ↑,
66', Kardava B. ↓, Dzagania A. ↑,
69', Jgerenaia G. 🟨,
73', Makaridze G. 🟨,
75', Busanello ↓, Haksabanovic S. ↑,
80', Khorkheli N. 🟨,
81', Tabatadze G. 🟨,
86', Tabatadze G. ↓, Akhvlediani T. ↑,
86', Tabatadze I. ↓, Kobuladze G. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Ali T. ⚽, Rosengren O. (A),
90+3', 3 - 1, Dzagania A. ⚽, Khorkheli N. (A),

Preview

1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.

Malmö is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Iberia 1999 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Iberia 1999 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Malmö is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malmö won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.07.25	Malmö - Norrköping	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Malmö	1:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.07.25	GAIS - Malmö	0:0 ✺
30.06.25	Mjällby - Malmö	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Malmö - Häcken	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTTW
- Iberia 1999
UEFA Champions League
08.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Malmö	1:3 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
01.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1 penalties ✺
26.06.25	Iberia 1999 - Dila Gori	1:3 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
29.05.25	Iberia 1999 - Gagra	3:1 ✺
25.05.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Iberia 1999	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
08.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Malmö	1:3

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