Match Info

Date: 18 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Collum W. (Sco)


	Malmö		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.25
	1.58	4.1	5.5
	1.53	4.3	6.1
	1.6	4	5.35
	1.59	4.04	5.78
	1.6	3.8	5.8
	1.69	3.7	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.87)	3.99 ↑ (3.5)	5.51 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
59.2%

Draw
23.7%

Sivasspor
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.2%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26.5%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malmö's performance.

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malmö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	4.7%	8.5%

Malmö - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (92 of 106 users predict this - 86.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.34% – 93.24%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Malmö could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Malmö is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.08.22	Malmö - Sundsvall	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.08.22	F91 Dudelange - Malmö	2:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
07.08.22	Sirius - Malmö	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
04.08.22	Malmö - F91 Dudelange	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.07.22	Malmö - Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTLWL
- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
13.08.22	Adana Demirspor - Sivasspor	3:0 ✺
06.08.22	Sivasspor - Gaziantep	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super Cup
30.07.22	Trabzonspor - Sivasspor	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.22	Sivasspor - Al-Sharjah	2:0 ✺
22.07.22	Sivasspor - Sigma Olomouc	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLWT

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