Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Malvern Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.80	1.63
	4	3.75	1.62
	4.15	3.85	1.67
	4.32	4.14	1.68	Watch
	4.05	3.75	1.62
	4.5	3.84	1.6
	4	3.8	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↓ (4.21)	3.85 ↓ (3.95)	1.64 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Malvern Town
21.6%

Draw
23.4%

Gloucester City
55%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.5%

22.9%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

22%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malvern Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malvern Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+3%)

Malvern Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gloucester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Hanks J. ⚽,
27', Nugent B. 🟥,
27', Tumelty J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (5 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Clark H. ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, Hill K. ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, Thomas K. (Own goal),
72', 3 - 2, Bullock J. ⚽,
75', 4 - 2, Payne L. ⚽,
88', 5 - 2, Fulloway M. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 22nd in the Relegation and 19th in the Relegation).

Malvern is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Gloucester have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gloucester carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Gloucester in today's match, at odds of 1.6.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	19:34	-15	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15:18	-3	10

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Malvern Town: 0.38%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malvern Town
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Chertsey Town - Malvern Town	5:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.09.26	Redditch United - Malvern Town	4:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Malvern Town - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Gosport Borough - Malvern Town	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	Malvern Town - Wimborne Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Gloucester City - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Gloucester City - Evesham United	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gloucester City	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	Gloucester City - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Wimborne Town - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLTWT

Upcoming Matches