Match Info

Premiership - Round 28

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport PSL
Kenya	Gotv
South-africa	SuperSport PSL


	Cape Town City		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.75	1.55
	5.2	3.65	1.62
	5.37	3.79	1.65
	5.16	3.7	1.6	Watch
	6	3.6	1.57
	5.53	3.66	1.59	Watch
	5.2	3.65	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.42 ↑ (5.2)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	1.6 (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cape Town City
17.1%

Draw
25.1%

Mamelodi Sundowns
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

24.6%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

23.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cape Town City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Town City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+3%)

Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Mamelodi Sundowns (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Keet D. (G) 2. Mkhize T. 14. Fasika I. 25. Gordinho L. 11. Nyama T. 55. Amato G. 4. Petrus A. 23. Rhodes J. 93. Makaringe F. 20. Gonzalez D. 26. Nodada T.	30. Williams R. (G) 27. Morena T. 20. Kekana G. 5. Lebusa M. 6. Modiba A. 4. Mokoena T. 10. Ribeiro L. 11. Allende M. 17. Matthews T. 9. Arthur Sales 13. Rayners I.
Substitutes
57. Bezuidenhout K. 10. Domingo H. 58. Dondolo S. 24. Francis K. 27. Goedeman T. 12. Mokotjo K. 47. Oliaro L. (G) 44. Slatsha L. 19. Ziba A. S.	26. Adams J. 42. Khoza M. 12. Maema N. 33. Maseko T. 14. Mashego T. 21. Mkhulise S. 25. Mudau K. 1. Onyango D. (G) 18. Zwane T.
Coaches
Peral D.	Cardoso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Makaringe F. 🟨,
28', Mokoena T. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Matthews T. ⚽, Rayners I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Petrus A. 🟨,
73', Amato G. ↓, Mokotjo K. ↑,
73', Petrus A. ↓, Goedeman T. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Rayners I. ⚽,
79', Makaringe F. ↓, Francis K. ↑,
79', Rayners I. ↓, Maseko T. ↑,
79', Ribeiro L. ↓, Adams J. ↑,
79', Morena T. ↓, Mudau K. ↑,
79', Nodada T. ↓, Domingo H. ↑,
81', Matthews T. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
81', Kekana G. ↓, Khoza M. ↑,
90', Rhodes J. ↓, Bezuidenhout K. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Premiership (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cape Town City won 1.

Recent form of Cape Town City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mamelodi Sundowns's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cape Town City won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cape Town City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cape Town City
South African Premier Soccer League
18.04.25	Richards Bay - Cape Town City	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Cape Town City - Sekhukhune United	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Supersport United - Cape Town City	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Cape Town City - Marumo Gallants	0:1 ✺
12.03.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Cape Town City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTLT
- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
30.04.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	3:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
25.04.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo	0:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
13.04.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
08.04.25	Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
30.10.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City	3:0
25.05.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City	0:1
24.12.23	Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0
04.04.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City	0:0
05.08.22	Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2
27.04.22	Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City	0:0
20.11.21	Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0

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