Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport


	Moroka Swallows		Kaizer Chiefs

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.9	2.95	2.5	Watch
	2.87	2.98	2.78
	2.87	2.98	2.78
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.81	2.97	2.57	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.49)	2.96 ↓ (2.98)	2.6 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moroka Swallows
32.9%

Draw
31.3%

Kaizer Chiefs
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

31%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

31%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moroka Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Kaizer Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moroka Swallows than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaizer Chiefs than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Moroka Swallows - Kaizer Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Moroka Swallows will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kaizer Chiefs will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kaizer Chiefs: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Akpeyi D. (G) 27. Phillips K. 4. Allan K. 24. Sibiya V. 66. Sam B. 72. Makhubela N. 8. Phalane L. 15. Jali A. 10. Mtshali L. 9. Mabasa T. 11. Mhango G.	44. Bvuma B. (G) 39. Frosler R. 25. Msimango S. G. 2. Dove E. 23. Hlanti S. 8. Maart Y. (C) 5. Mthethwa S. 12. Ngcobo N. 21. Saile C. 7. Chivaviro R. 13. Mmodi P.
Substitutes
19. Falakhe T. 14. Khumalo O. 26. Malinga K. 25. Maponya T. 31. Mbanjwa T. (G) 17. Rampa M. 2. Sibiya S. 12. Van Rhyn D. 42. Zuma D.	17. Castillo E. 14. Gonzalez E. 4. Kwinika Z. 19. Mashiane H. 27. Ngcobo N. 1. Peterson B. (G) 33. Radebe S. 42. Shabalala M. 37. Zwane S.
Coaches
Komphela S.	Johnson C.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 1.

Recent matches Moroka Swallows is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kaizer Chiefs is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Kaizer Chiefs have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Moroka Swallows won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Moroka Swallows won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moroka Swallows
South African Premier Soccer League
11.11.23	Polokwane City - Moroka Swallows	0:0 ✺
08.11.23	Moroka Swallows - TS Galaxy	1:0 ✺
South African Knockout
22.10.23	Richards Bay - Moroka Swallows	2:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
04.10.23	Moroka Swallows - Chippa United	0:0 ✺
29.09.23	Moroka Swallows - AmaZulu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLTW
- Kaizer Chiefs
South African Premier Soccer League
11.11.23	Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates	0:1 ✺
08.11.23	Kaizer Chiefs - Cape Town Spurs	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Kaizer Chiefs	2:1 ✺
South African Knockout
21.10.23	Kaizer Chiefs - AmaZulu	0:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
03.10.23	Kaizer Chiefs - Cape Town City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
01.05.23	Kaizer Chiefs - Moroka Swallows	1:2
05.10.22	Moroka Swallows - Kaizer Chiefs	1:2
21.05.22	Kaizer Chiefs - Moroka Swallows	2:2
28.11.21	Moroka Swallows - Kaizer Chiefs	1:3
12.05.21	Kaizer Chiefs - Moroka Swallows	1:1
24.11.20	Moroka Swallows - Kaizer Chiefs	1:0
18.03.15	Moroka Swallows - Kaizer Chiefs	0:3

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