Match Info

MTN 8 Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport PSL


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Polokwane City

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.10	7.50
	1.35	4.40	8.50
	1.42	3.98	10.35
	1.41	3.55	9.61
	1.40	3.55	10.00
	1.39	3.66	9.15	Watch
	1.36	3.95	7.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.28)	3.88 ↓ (4.8)	8.96 ↓ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
66.2%

Draw
23.6%

Polokwane City
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

19.1%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mamelodi Sundowns's form might have worsened.

Polokwane City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Mamelodi Sundowns - Polokwane City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (C) 37. Johannes K. 20. Kekana G. 4. Mokoena T. 25. Mudau K. 29. van Wyk A. 11. Allende M. 23. Basadien F. 46. Mokoena B. 13. Rayners I. 17. Matthews T.	40. Mathebula L. (G) 42. Manthosi S. 22. Ramaja E. 3. Nkwe T. 34. Nkaki L. (C) 17. Dlamini B. 21. Kambala M. 14. Maphangule N. 47. Batlhabane M. M. 44. Molokwane T. 18. Philander G.
Substitutes
31. Goss R. (G) 42. Khoza M. 43. Lethlaku K. 33. Mailula C. 28. Mdunyelwa Z. 21. Mkhulise S. 6. Modiba A. 35. Mothiba L. 18. Zwane T.	20. Daniels R. 6. Kelepu S. 29. Khosa M. 48. Mashele A. 46. Matube T. 35. Mnguni B. 27. Modise M. 60. Ngwenya A. (G) 4. Nikani B.
Coaches
Cardoso M.	Moloto W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Dlamini B. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Mokoena T. ⚽, van Wyk A. (A),
31', 2 - 1, van Wyk A. ⚽,
36', Matthews T. 🟨,
37', Philander G. ↓, Modise M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Kambala M. 🟨,
59', Mathebula L. ↓, Ngwenya A. ↑,
60', Batlhabane M. M. ↓, Mnguni B. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Molokwane T. ⚽, Nkaki L. (A),
69', van Wyk A. ↓, Lethlaku K. ↑,
69', Rayners I. ↓, Mailula C. ↑,
69', Basadien F. ↓, Modiba A. ↑,
83', Mokoena B. ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
84', Dlamini B. ↓, Daniels R. ↑,
86', Manthosi S. 🟨,
90+2', Lethlaku K. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Matthews T. ↓, Mdunyelwa Z. ↑,
101', Johannes K. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
105', Molokwane T. ↓, Khosa M. ↑,
113', 3 - 2, Mailula C. ⚽, Zwane T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 4.

Polokwane City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:8. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:3. (average 1.6:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Mamelodi Sundowns - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 71.7%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
Club Friendly
27.07.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - MC Alger	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Al-Hilal - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Hertha Berlin - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Mamelodi Sundowns	Canceled ✺
29.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 TLT?W
- Polokwane City
South African Premier Soccer League
02.08.26	Richards Bay - Polokwane City	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Polokwane City - Sekhukhune United	0:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
16.05.26	Polokwane City - Marumo Gallants	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Polokwane City	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Richards Bay - Polokwane City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
03.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Polokwane City	3:0
29.04.26	Polokwane City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1
06.11.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Polokwane City	2:0
27.10.24	Polokwane City - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:0
South African MTN 8 Cup
11.08.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Polokwane City	1:0 ET
South African Premier Soccer League
30.12.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Polokwane City	0:0
30.08.23	Polokwane City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2

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