Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
World	Onefootball


	Mamelodi Sundowns		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.95	1.78
	3.4	4.1	1.74
	3.51	5.27	1.68	Watch
	3.6	3.8	1.75
	3.91	4.3	1.73	Watch
	8.2	5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↓ (8.2)	4.4 ↓ (5)	1.67 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
21.6%

Draw
21.6%

RB Leipzig
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

18.8%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

18%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mamelodi Sundowns's performance.

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RB Leipzig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mamelodi Sundowns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RB Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mamelodi Sundowns - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Onyango D. (C) 11. Allende M. 37. Johannes K. 20. Kekana G. 42. Khoza M. 43. Lethlaku K. 21. Mkhulise S. 46. Mokoena B. 34. Ntsabeleng T. 38. Shalulile P. 45. Sibiya T.	1. Gulacsi P. (G) 46. Al Khalaf A. 9. Bakayoko J. 6. Banzuzi E. 5. Bitshiabu E. 11. Harder C. 45. Konate S. 29. Ngana W. 4. Orban W. (C) 20. Ouedraogo A. 48. Voufack L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Konate S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
76', 1 - 1, Leon B. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Leon B. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, Mokoena B. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

RB Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, RB Leipzig is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
CAF Champions League
24.05.26	FAR Rabat - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - FAR Rabat	1:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
12.05.26	TS Galaxy - Mamelodi Sundowns	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Siwelele	7:4 ✺
06.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLWT
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
16.05.26	Freiburg - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
09.05.26	RB Leipzig - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
24.04.26	RB Leipzig - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWW

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