Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 29

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Premier League
Kenya	Gotv
Nigeria	SuperSport Premier League
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, SuperSport Variety 4


	Polokwane City		Marumo Gallants

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.98	2.4
	2.97	3.17	2.58
	2.9	2.97	2.47	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.45
	2.87	2.97	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.32)	3 ↑ (2.8)	2.46 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polokwane City
31.6%

Draw
30.8%

Marumo Gallants
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

32.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

32.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polokwane City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polokwane City's form might have worsened.

Marumo Gallants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marumo Gallants's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polokwane City than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polokwane City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marumo Gallants than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marumo Gallants, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Polokwane City - Marumo Gallants Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Polokwane City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Marumo Gallants will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Polokwane City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Marumo Gallants (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Polokwane City (votes: 1 - 50%). Marumo Gallants (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Mathebula L. (G) 42. Manthosi S. 22. Ramaja E. 34. Nkaki L. (C) 3. Nkwe T. 7. Ramabu M. 14. Maphangule N. 21. Kambala M. 17. Dlamini B. 20. Daniels R. 35. Mnguni B.	16. Mlambo K. (G) 20. Khumalo E. 50. Nhlapo S. 35. Sikhosana M. 3. Ntiya-Ntiya S. 8. Mbhele S. 15. Ndlondlo N. 18. Ndlovu M. 5. Manaka E. (C) 39. Mabuza B. 7. Sithole K.
Substitutes
47. Batlhabane M. M. 30. Makhavhu M. (G) 10. Marema P. 16. Mashinini S. 31. Motsa S. 36. Mutudza J. 5. Mvundlela M. 32. Ramasobane J. 29. Tshabalala S.	36. Arubi W. (G) 9. Clifford J. 42. Doumbia M. 4. Mabotja L. 33. Mhlongo K. 27. Motloung T. 10. Mpambaniso M. 12. Otladisa K. 26. Sithole S.
Coaches
Mohafe P.	Benouahi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Dlamini B. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Mnguni B. ⚽, Daniels R. (A),
45+2', Manaka E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Doumbia M. ⚽,
46', Sithole K. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
46', Mabuza B. ↓, Otladisa K. ↑,
46', Manaka E. ↓, Clifford J. ↑,
49', Mnguni B. ↓, Marema P. ↑,
49', Ramabu M. ↓, Mashinini S. ↑,
63', Ntiya-Ntiya S. ↓, Mabotja L. ↑,
70', Otladisa K. 🟨,
75', Dlamini B. ↓, Tshabalala S. ↑,
84', Marema P. ↓, Batlhabane M. M. ↑,
85', Maphangule N. ↓, Mutudza J. ↑,
85', Ndlovu M. ↓, Motloung T. ↑,
90', Nhlapo S. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Marumo Gallants may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Marumo Gallants has had a series of home games.

Marumo Gallants might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polokwane City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Polokwane City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Polokwane	7	1	4	2	8:10	-2	7
16	Marumo Gallants	7	0	2	5	5:13	-8	2

Last Results with these Odds

Polokwane City - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.81%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Marumo Gallants - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.26%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polokwane City
South African Premier Soccer League
09.05.26	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Polokwane City	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Richards Bay - Polokwane City	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Polokwane City	3:0 ✺
29.04.26	Polokwane City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Polokwane City - Stellenbosch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLLW
- Marumo Gallants
South African Premier Soccer League
09.05.26	Marumo Gallants - Richards Bay	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Marumo Gallants - TS Galaxy	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Sekhukhune United - Marumo Gallants	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Marumo Gallants - Siwelele	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Marumo Gallants - Orbit College	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
31.08.25	Marumo Gallants - Polokwane City	1:1
23.02.25	Marumo Gallants - Polokwane City	0:0
15.12.24	Polokwane City - Marumo Gallants	1:0
South African Knockout
19.10.24	Polokwane City - Marumo Gallants	2:3
South African Nedbank Cup
23.01.19	Polokwane City - Marumo Gallants	1:2

Polokwane City - Marumo Gallants: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide