Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Champions League - Round 3

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria)

Referee: Atcho P. (Gab)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-africa	SABC 1, SABC Plus, SABC Sport
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Raja Casablanca

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	5.75	Watch
	1.52	3.7	5.25
				Watch
	1.51	3.75	6.72
	1.56	3.6	6.78	Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.8
	1.53	3.82	6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.83)	3.7 ↑ (3.31)	6.05 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

Watch this match and CAF Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
60%

Draw
24.8%

Raja Casablanca
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.5%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

27.1%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mamelodi Sundowns's performance.

Raja Casablanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raja Casablanca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mamelodi Sundowns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raja Casablanca than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raja Casablanca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mamelodi Sundowns - Raja Casablanca Predictions

Users Predictions: Mamelodi Sundowns will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (C) 2. Khoza M. 4. Mokoena T. 29. Lunga D. 25. Mudau K. 12. Maema N. 10. Ribeiro L. 5. Lebusa M. 21. Mkhulise S. 13. Rayners I. 11. Allende M.	1. Zniti A. (C) 2. Baadi A. 5. Khafifi A. 28. Arrassi B. 27. Boulacsou M. 10. Ennaffati A. 6. Mouhsine B. 18. Bikoro F. 11. Zerhouni N. 40. Najjari Y. 19. Zrida M.
Substitutes
9. Arthur Sales 23. De Reuck R. 43. Lethlaku K. 39. Maboe L. 14. Mashego T. 27. Morena T. 1. Onyango D. (G) 8. Saavedra E. 38. Shalulile P.	22. Al Harrar E. M. (G) 23. Balde Y. 16. Benamar B. 34. Bougrine S. 26. Bouzok Y. 38. Ferdaoussi H. 3. Labib Z. 29. Soussi A. 20. Zila M.
Coaches
Mngqithi M.	Sa Pinto R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Khafifi A. ↓, Benamar B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mkhulise S. ↓, Lethlaku K. ↑,
61', Mudau K. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Rayners I. ⚽, Lethlaku K. (A),
66', Mouhsine B. ↓, Bougrine S. ↑,
66', Najjari Y. ↓, Zila M. ↑,
70', Lunga D. 🟨,
71', Ennaffati A. 🟨,
75', Arrassi B. 🟨,
79', Ennaffati A. ↓, Soussi A. ↑,
80', Lunga D. ↓, Mashego T. ↑,
80', Rayners I. ↓, Maboe L. ↑,
84', Ribeiro L. ↓, Arthur Sales ↑,
87', Boulacsou M. 🟨,
90+7', Williams R. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Raja Casablanca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mamelodi Sundowns is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
CAF Champions League
07.12.24	FAR Rabat - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
30.11.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United	3:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
26.11.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Maniema Union	0:0 ✺
South African Knockout
23.11.24	Magesi - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWTLW
- Raja Casablanca
CAF Champions League
07.12.24	Maniema Union - Raja Casablanca	1:1 ✺
Moroccan Botola
01.12.24	Hassania Agadir - Raja Casablanca	1:3 ✺
CAF Champions League
26.11.24	Raja Casablanca - FAR Rabat	0:2 ✺
Moroccan Botola
22.11.24	Raja Casablanca - Wydad Casablanca	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Moghreb Tétouan - Raja Casablanca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLTT

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