Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 19

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
South-africa	SuperSport PSL


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Sekhukhune United

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.95	7.9
	1.35	4.55	10.41
	1.4	3.92	8.45	Watch
	1.33	4.2	10
	1.33	4.44	10.8
	1.38	4.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)	4.21 ↑ (3.71)	9.26 ↑ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
67.9%

Draw
22.1%

Sekhukhune United
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

24.6%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

24%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sekhukhune United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mamelodi Sundowns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sekhukhune United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (C) 25. Mudau K. 3. Ndamane K. 20. Kekana G. 11. Allende M. 4. Mokoena T. 8. Adams J. 6. Modiba A. 9. Arthur Sales 12. Leon B. 17. Matthews T.	1. Nsabata T. (G) 3. Ndlovu B. 4. Cardoso D. (C) 25. Letlapa V. 2. Mashiloane T. 8. Monare T. 15. Mkhize S. 33. Nku L. 12. Mogaila S. 17. Grobler B. 10. Mncube V.
Substitutes
23. Basadien F. 37. Johannes K. 35. Mothiba L. 34. Ntsabeleng T. 26. Pieterse R. (G) 13. Rayners I. 14. Saleng M. 10. Santos N. 18. Zwane T.	13. Diomande A. 37. Khiba T. 16. Leaner R. (G) 7. Makgalwa K. 31. Mokoane T. 39. Ngwenya T. 11. Rammala N. 45. Tlaka K. 29. Yamba T.
Coaches
Cardoso M.	Tinkler E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Mokoena T. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Allende M. ⚽, Arthur Sales (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Nku L. ↓, Diomande A. ↑,
59', Mokoena T. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
60', Arthur Sales ↓, Santos N. ↑,
65', Mogaila S. ↓, Rammala N. ↑,
65', Mncube V. ↓, Mokoane T. ↑,
68', Leon B. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Grobler B. ⚽, Letlapa V. (A),
71', Monare T. ↓, Khiba T. ↑,
80', Allende M. ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
80', Matthews T. ↓, Saleng M. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Rayners I. ⚽,
87', Mkhize S. 🟨,
87', Adams J. 🟨,
90+1', Mudau K. 🟨,
90+2', Mkhize S. ↓, Makgalwa K. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Rayners I. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 5.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Sekhukhune United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mamelodi Sundowns has had a series of away games.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	8	6	2	0	19:7	12	20
6	Sekhukhune	7	3	2	2	7:7	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
24.02.26	AmaZulu - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
21.02.26	TS Galaxy - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
18.02.26	Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
14.02.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - MC Alger	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Saint-Éloi Lupopo - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWT
- Sekhukhune United
South African Nedbank Cup
22.02.26	University of Pretoria - Sekhukhune United	0:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
15.02.26	Sekhukhune United - Orbit College	2:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
07.02.26	Highbury - Sekhukhune United	0:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
01.02.26	TS Galaxy - Sekhukhune United	0:1 ✺
27.01.26	Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
27.01.26	Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2
South African Nedbank Cup
28.03.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United	1:0 ET
South African Premier Soccer League
26.02.25	Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:4
30.11.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United	3:0
23.04.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United	2:1
04.08.23	Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:2
28.01.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United	2:0

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