Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Location: Loftus Versfeld Stadium (Pretoria)

Referee: Beida D. (Mrt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Young Africans

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.2	11	Watch
	1.25	4	7.75
	1.3	5	10	Watch
	1.31	4.59	11.1
	1.31	4.51	11.1
	1.25	4.6	11
	1.3	4.65	10.5	Watch
	1.31	4.6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	4.52 ↑ (4)	10.31 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
70.9%

Draw
20.3%

Young Africans
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

23%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

22.3%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mamelodi Sundowns's performance.

Young Africans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Africans than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Mamelodi Sundowns - Young Africans Predictions

Users Predictions: Mamelodi Sundowns will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (G) 25. Mudau K. 20. Kekana G. 17. Modiba A. 32. Lunga D. 11. Allende M. 4. Mokoena T. 18. Zwane T. 23. Costa L. 12. Lorch T. 38. Shalulile P.	39. Diarra D. (G) 7. Mpia Nzengeli M. 5. Dickson J. 3. Mwamnyeto B. 2. Hamad I. 13. Mutambala L. 27. Yahya M. 19. Mkude J. 25. Musonda K. 14. Guede Gnadou J. 10. Aziz Ki S.
Substitutes
19. Aubaas B. J. 35. Maema N. 33. Maseko T. 15. Mendieta J. 21. Mkhulise S. 27. Morena T. 34. Mvala M. 1. Onyango D. (G) 10. Sirino G.	37. Gift F. 30. Kibabage N. 6. Makudubela M. 16. Mshery A. 17. Mussa F. 24. Mzize C. 23. Okrah A. 33. Shomari K. 18. Sureboy
Coaches
Mokwena R.	Gamondi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Mutambala L. 🟨,
39', Yahya M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mpia Nzengeli M. 🟨,
48', Allende M. 🟨,
64', Zwane T. ↓, Maseko T. ↑,
69', Musonda K. ↓, Mzize C. ↑,
73', Lorch T. ↓, Sirino G. ↑,
85', Modiba A. ↓, Maema N. ↑,
87', Mwamnyeto B. ↓, Gift F. ↑,
90+2', Mpia Nzengeli M. ↓, Okrah A. ↑,
90+2', Mutambala L. ↓, Kibabage N. ↑,
90+4', Hamad I. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Aziz Ki S. (Pen),
1, Allende M. (Pen),
2, Okrah A. (Pen),
2, Sirino G. (Pen),
3, Dickson J. (Pen),
3, Costa L. (Pen),
4, Guede Gnadou J. (Pen),
4, Maema N. (Pen),
5, Hamad I. (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Mamelodi Sundowns could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mamelodi Sundowns have a series of home games.

In this match Mamelodi Sundowns is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mamelodi Sundowns won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
02.04.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	1:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
30.03.24	Young Africans - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
17.03.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Durban City	2:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
12.03.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Supersport United	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Chippa United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTWTW
- Young Africans SC
CAF Champions League
30.03.24	Young Africans - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
17.03.24	Azam - Young Africans	2:1 ✺
14.03.24	Young Africans - Geita Gold	1:0 ✺
11.03.24	Young Africans - Singida Black Stars	5:0 ✺
08.03.24	Namungo - Young Africans	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
30.03.24	Young Africans - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0

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