Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Mamer		Pétange

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.46	2.45
	5.03	1.44	5.35	Watch
	2.81	3.32	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.31)	2.74 ↓ (3.5)	3.35 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamer
30.1%

Draw
38.5%

Pétange
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26.2%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

25.3%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Pétange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pétange might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pétange than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pétange could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mamer - Pétange Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Mamer (1.73) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Pétange (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamer (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Pétange (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Schreiber M. (G) 17. Baillet B. 54. Biagui Y. 4. Freire N. 11. Jager M. (C) 97. Montout L. 99. Rapaille L. 28. Schmit B. 10. Teles I. 6. Vialette H. 18. Zilli Q.	1. Barrela L. (C) 27. Ali D. 21. Arab S. 81. Ferreira G. 11. Isaac A. 36. Kamavuaka W. 23. Martins N. 4. Noode S. 6. Sabotic D. 3. Vechviroon N. 5. Zodehougan Y.
Substitutes
29. da Costa Batista D. 5. Erragui R. 91. Fiorani A. 27. Maurice J. 20. Mendes Y. 9. Muric D. 1. Rao A. (G)	91. Amaadacho S. 34. Diouf I. 22. Fanoux J. 17. Goncalves R. 19. Gustavo 18. Komes M. (G) . Mateus R. 24. Pereira Mendes P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Noode S. 🟨,
33', Schmit B. 🟨,
35', Isaac A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Jager M. ⚽, Zilli Q. (A),
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Ali D. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Arab S. ⚽,
62', Rapaille L. ↓, da Costa Batista D. ↑,
75', Baillet B. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
84', Montout L. ↓, Maurice J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Mamer have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pétange is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pétange may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pétange is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg National Division
14.09.25	Mamer - Swift Hesperange	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Mamer - Differdange 03	1:4 ✺
24.08.25	Mamer - F91 Dudelange	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Jeunesse Esch - Mamer	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Jeunesse Canach - Mamer	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLLWW
- Union Titus Pétange
Luxembourg National Division
13.09.25	Käerjéng 97 - Pétange	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Pétange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	UNA Strassen - Pétange	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Pétange - Hostert	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Pétange - Victoria Rosport	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Mamer - Pétange: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide