Match Info

Serie D - Round 4

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Manauara		Águia de Marabá

	1	X	2
	1.59	3.55	5.2
	1.59	3.4	5.13
	1.6	3.63	5.34	Watch
	1.57	3.64	5.32
	1.59	3.55	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.93)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	5.24 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manauara
57.1%

Draw
25.5%

Águia de Marabá
17.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.6%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

29.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manauara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manauara's performance.

Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Águia de Marabá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manauara than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manauara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águia de Marabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manauara - Águia de Marabá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Manauara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Águia de Marabá is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Manauara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Manauara is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manauara EC
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.25	Manauara - Tuna Luso Brasileira	3:0 ✺
26.04.25	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Manauara	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Manauara - Independência	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
26.03.25	Manaus - Manauara	2:1 penalties ✺
23.03.25	Manauara - Princesa do Solimões	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTLW
- Águia de Marabá
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.25	Águia de Marabá - Manaus	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Independência - Águia de Marabá	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Águia de Marabá - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Grao Para
12.04.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Águia de Marabá	1:2 penalties ✺
06.04.25	Águia de Marabá - Bragantino do Pará	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWWWW

Manauara - Águia de Marabá

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Manauara - Águia de Marabá Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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