Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Manaus		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	2.7	2.45
	3.15	2.7	2.36
	3.44	2.78	2.42
	2.9	2.8	2.45
	2.96	3.04	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.17)	2.8 ↓ (3.1)	2.42 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manaus
29.6%

Draw
32.6%

Grêmio Novorizontino
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

21.8%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manaus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Novorizontino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manaus - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Manaus is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Novorizontino in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Novorizontino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie C
25.09.21	Paysandu - Manaus	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Manaus - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
12.09.21	Manaus - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
04.09.21	Jacuipense - Manaus	0:1 ✺
28.08.21	Tombense - Manaus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTWL
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie C
25.09.21	Mirassol - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
11.09.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:4 ✺
27.08.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW

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